Thursday, June 27, 2013

Football Contest: Playoff Predictions

Things are getting hot and heavy now.  With only 2 weeks left, there are only 4,294,967,296 possible outcomes for the 32 remaining games.

Here are the percentages for 10,000 random simulations:

In the AFC, the Bills, Titans, Raiders and Chiefs are eliminated from contention.  The Jets managed to grab a few percentage points.  The Dolphins are comfortable and the Jaguars are in a good position.  The Ravens are still a near-lock, just like the Texans.  The Chargers have won three straight, improving from 4% to 17% along the way. 

As for the NFC, The Rams and Giants have clinched while the Redskins and Panthers have been eliminated.  The Bears may have a shot left through a favorable tiebreak, but I'm not sure.  The Seahawks, Saints, and Vikings need a lot of help.  The Packers made the playoffs in all of these simulations, and I'm pretty sure they're locked in, but there are too many tiebreak scenarios to figure out right now.  The Falcons and Bucs are still deadlocked in the South. 

See you on Sunday!

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